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AI won’t replace radiologists, yet!

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AI won’t replace radiologists, yet!

A recent study published in The British Medical Journal tested whether artificial intelligence (AI) could pass the examination for the Fellowship of the Royal College of Radiologists (FRCR).

Radiologists in the UK (UK) must pass the FRCR examination before completing their training. Assuming that AI can pass the identical test, it could replace radiologists. The ultimate FRCR exam has three components, and candidates require a passing mark in each component to pass the exam overall.

Within the rapid reporting component, candidates must analyze and interpret 30 radiographs in 35 minutes and accurately report not less than 90% of those to pass this a part of the exam. This session gauges candidates for accuracy and speed. There may be an argument suggesting that AI would excel in accuracy, speed, radiographs, and binary outcomes. As such, the rapid reporting session of the FRCR exam might be a really perfect setting to check the prowess of AI. 

Study: Can artificial intelligence pass the Fellowship of the Royal College of Radiologists examination? Multi-reader diagnostic accuracy study. Image Credit: SquareMotion / Shutterstock

In regards to the study

In the current study, researchers evaluated whether an AI candidate can pass the FRCR exam and outperform human radiologists taking the identical examination. The authors used 10 FRCR mock examinations for evaluation for the reason that RCR denied sharing retired FRCR rapid reporting examination cases. The radiographs were chosen, reflecting the identical difficulty level as an actual exam.

Each mock exam comprised 30 radiographs, covering all body parts from adults and youngsters; roughly half contained one pathology, and the remaining had no abnormalities. Previous successful FRCR candidates (radiologist readers) who passed the FRCR examination previously 12 months were recruited via social media, word of mouth, and email.

Radiologist readers accomplished a brief survey that captured information on demographics and former FRCR exam attempts. Anonymized radiographs were provided via a web-based image-viewing platform (digital imaging and communications in medicine, DICOM). Radiologists got one month (May 2022) to record their interpretations for ten mock examinations on a web-based sheet.  

Radiologists provided rankings on 1) how representative the mock exams were relative to the actual FRCR examination, 2) their performance, and three) how well they thought AI would have performed. Likewise, 300 anonymized radiographs were provided to the AI candidate called Smarturgences, developed by Milvue, a French AI company.

The AI tool was not certified to research abdominal and axial skeleton radiographs; still, it was supplied with these radiographs for fairness across participants. The rating for the AI tool was calculated in 4 ways. In the primary scenario, only the AI-interpretable radiographs were scored, excluding non-interpretable radiographs. The non-interpretable radiographs were scored as normal, abnormal, and flawed within the second, third, and fourth scenarios.

Findings

In total, 26 radiologists, including 16 females, were recruited, and most participants were aged 31 – 40. Sixteen radiologists accomplished their FRCR exam previously three months. Most participants cleared the FRCR exam on their first attempt. The AI tool would have passed two mock exams in the primary scenario. In scenario 2, AI would have passed one mock examination.

In scenarios 3 and 4, the AI candidate would have failed the examination. The general sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy for AI were 83.6%, 75.2%, and 79.5% in scenario 1. For radiologists, the summary estimates of sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were 84.1%, 87.3%, and 84.8%, respectively. AI was the highest-performing candidate in a single examination but ranked second to last overall.

Assuming strict scoring criteria best reflecting the actual examination, which was the case in scenario 4, AI’s overall sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy stood at 75.2%, 62.3%, and 68.7%, respectively. As compared, radiologists’ summary estimates of sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were 84%, 87.5%, and 85.2%, respectively.

No radiologist passed all mock examinations. The best-ranked radiologist passed nine mock exams, while the three lowest-ranked radiologists passed just one. On average, radiologists could pass 4 mock examinations. The radiologists rated the mock examinations marginally more complex than the FRCR examination. They rated their performance 5.8 – 7.0 on a 10-point Likert-type scale and the performance of AI between 6 and 6.6.

The researchers say: “On this occasion, the unreal intelligence candidate was unable to pass any of the ten mock examinations when marked against similarly strict criteria to its human counterparts, nevertheless it could pass two of the mock examinations if special dispensation was made by the RCR to exclude images that it had not been trained on.”

Of the 42 non-interpretable radiographs within the dataset, the AI candidate yielded a result for one, mislabeled as basal pneumothorax on a standard abdominal radiograph. Greater than half of the radiologists wrongly diagnosed 20 radiographs; of those, the AI tool incorrectly diagnosed 10 radiographs but accurately interpreted the remaining. Overall, just about all radiologists accurately analyzed 148 radiographs, 134 of which were also accurately interpreted by the AI candidate.

Conclusions

To summarize, AI passed two mock examinations when the special dispensation was provided, viz., exclusion of non-interpretable images. Nevertheless, AI would pass none if dispensation was not granted. Although AI didn’t outperform radiologists, its accuracy remained high, given the complexity and case mix.

Furthermore, AI ranked the very best in a single mock exam outperforming three radiologists. Notably, AI accurately diagnosed half of the radiographs, which its human peers interpreted wrongly. Nonetheless, the AI candidate still requires more training to realize performance and skills on the identical levels as a mean radiologist, especially for cases which might be non-interpretable by the AI.

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